CLARITY Act Odds Drop to 18% on Polymarket as Opposition Grows

Prediction market traders are turning bearish on the CLARITY Act. Current odds on Polymarket show just an 18 percent chance of the bill becoming law in 2026. This is a massive drop from 34 percent earlier in September and a staggering 82 percent back in February.

The decline comes as major banks and state attorneys general ramp up their pushback against the legislation. These groups have left key disputes unresolved, creating a major roadblock ahead of the planned Senate vote.

Traders and crypto watchers should keep an eye on upcoming political negotiations. If proponents cannot address the banking and state level concerns soon, the bill could face a complete stall in Congress.